The match of the group stage. Germany vs France at the World Cup is a fixture that transcends football — two of the sport's most decorated nations meeting in a direct contest that will decide who tops Group D. Germany have Wirtz and Musiala — arguably Europe's two best young players — while France counter with Mbappé, Griezmann and the world's deepest squad.

This match will be decided by fine margins. Germany will press high and use their technical quality to control central areas, but Mbappé's pace on the counter is the single biggest threat to any defence in the tournament. France's counter-attacking can devastate high defensive lines. The draw at 3.25 is solid value — these teams are genuinely 50/50 — but BTTS at ~1.85 is our preferred bet given the attacking quality on both sides.